Sean t rcp twitter.

Jun 1, 2022 · “So many other low points, like horses on Star Destroyers, or Chewie fake dying, or C3P0 fake losing his memory, or the weird Kimiji storyline, or a Palpatine appropriating the Skywalker name. But here's the thing, most of the problems were not of Ep. IX's making. 7/” In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users“Those deep red counties in the southwest (Leip still uses the red = D, blue = R coloring)? Justice ran about 40 points ahead of Clinton. That's coal country. 3/”The silver lining for Ds is this: Ciattarelli came close to Christie's 2013 showing in Passaic, (when Christie won by 22 statewide), but likely loses. Log in. Sign up

In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users“@kkondik Yeah, the shift in the non-urban, non -Deep South over the past 20 years is probably the most consequential — and least well understood — shifts of our lifetime.”

Sean T at RCP is a free elf @SeanTrende. Replying to . ... Paging . @ron_fournier. #isgreenlanternreal? 7:40 PM · Mar 25, 2014 · Twitter for iPhone. 1. Like. Sean T at RCP is a free elfSenior elections analyst for RCP, Sean Trende, likewise said that the claim was “untrue” on Twitter. While The Associated Press and cable news networks have projected Biden as the winner, RCP has not called the 2020 presidential race for either candidate at the time of publication. RCP lists Biden as having 259 electoral votes and …

“This happened in all the Senate races. Pryor was in the game against Cotton through much of the summer, but basically got the same vote share he'd been polling at from May onward; Cotton got all the undecideds, almost all of whom disapproved of the president.”In a technology-driven world, it’s hard to stand out on social media sites. Check out which brands are taking over the media with the ultimate social media strategy. General Electric stays relevant with gorgeous Instagram photos and science...RT @davidshor: To be more pointed - Catalist data shows that non-college voters of color have trended *enormously* toward the GOP since 2012, by similar magnitudes as non-college whites (particularly on a logit scale!).16 Şub 2020 ... If Bernie Sanders isn't the Democratic front-runner at this point, the word has little meaning.

Sean T at RCP is a free elf @SeanTrende Of the congressional districts used in 2020, name the top 3 that swung the most toward Republicans (at the presidential level) from 2008, and the three that swung the most toward Democrats.

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“As I've said before, I think the alternatives offered up by the Tea Party purifiers and populists have largely been appalling. But if you look back over the past 40 years, its not hard to understand how this happened. 17/17”“@ThePlumLineGS @billscher So I'm pretty comfortable saying they'd have gotten something through absent the strictures of reconciliation. And remember, with regular order you don't have to go all-or-nothing. You can do a *ton* through appropriations riders, which give nervous members cover.”Oct 19, 2022 · “I think a lot of problems with Rhaenys Targaryen not incinerating the Greens comes from the weird gender politics the show has embraced. One of the interesting thing about GOT was it wasn't afraid to make the female characters as crazy and murderous as the men. 1/” VA-10 was carried by McAuliffe by like 3 points, so if that flips it is beyond something we've seen in our lifetime and Rs are going to have 250+ seats.“Basic take on the Senate: There are 5 true tossups, with a handful of states on the periphery. Most of the R states have broken away in the last couple of weeks. So, for example, Budd v. Beasley might have been an upset pick, but it is going the wrong way. 1/”“My take: You can make a case for Phantom Menace largely because, as Machete Order proves, you can pretty much watch the entire series without it and not miss anything. But it isn't a horrible movie, though I'm the weirdo who sort of liked the Palpatine political machinations.”In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users

“@nataliemj10 @rp_griffin Oh I think it's probably maybe 5-10% of the population (though overrepresented on social media). But I also think the motivator for a large chunk of that isn't really safety.”“Trying to think of a more consequential shift than Barrett for Ginsburg. Maybe Black for Van Devanter in the 30s, but Roberts already flipped. Thomas for Marshall? Ginsburg-for-White next year cancels, Souter goes left.Maybe Goldberg for Frankfurter, giving Warren 5 solid votes.”Sean T at RCP Verified account @SeanTrende. Sr. Elections Analyst, RCP. @osupolisci. @aei. Recovering Att'y. Married to @emytrende, dad to 3. You shall love your crooked neighbor, with your crooked heart.“Oh FFS. 1/”“@_Chris_Golding_ From what I understand this happened at the end of the fourth quarter, and it took a while to figure out exactly what was going on. All coaches (who are just parents) were horrified, but this is something there needs to be clear guidance on at a …In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users

“@kkondik Yeah, the shift in the non-urban, non -Deep South over the past 20 years is probably the most consequential — and least well understood — shifts of our lifetime.”

Log in. Sign up“I've been mulling over some of the defenses of Australia's anti-COVID regime from liberal friends, and the ACLU's defense of vaccine mandates. I can't decide if this is a one-off, or some greater shift in American liberalism. 1/”Jun 7, 2021 · “@billscher @ThePlumLineGS I still think the biggest threats to Ds in a non-filibuster universe are things that can get to the core of their power infrastructure: national right to work, school vouchers, limits on public sector unions, tort reform, etc.” “@Izengabe_ @fawfulfan More to the point, the typical way we do a quick-and-dirty assessment of a state's political orientation is PVI, and Kentucky is a point redder than Vermont is blue. If one wants to make a nuanced critique of CPVI here that's fine, but at that point you've lost the plot.”Sean T at RCP Verified account @SeanTrende Sr. Elections Analyst at RCP. Co-Author, Almanac Am. Pols. 2014. Recovering Attorney. If you think this has a happy ending, you haven't been paying attention.“@ManglerOfProse @BruneElections @JacobRubashkin @HeerJeet No, but they have an obligation not to try to get nutters nominated in the Republican primary. They have a particular obligation not to pump nutters by portraying them as garden variety conservatives.”Jun 1, 2022 · “So many other low points, like horses on Star Destroyers, or Chewie fake dying, or C3P0 fake losing his memory, or the weird Kimiji storyline, or a Palpatine appropriating the Skywalker name. But here's the thing, most of the problems were not of Ep. IX's making. 7/”

“So I don't know. Ideology certainly matters less than the 4th grade civics version, where candidates give speeches and voters decide who they agree with the most on the issues. I just think some of the current crop of Dem candidates are problematic for Democrats in unique ways.”

Sean Trende is the Senior Elections Analyst for RealClearPolitics. He is the author of "The Lost Majority: Why the Future of Government Is Up for Grabs and Who Will Take It," and co-authored the ...

A new book about Sen. Mitt Romney details his interactions with Fox News host Sean Hannity. Romney and Hannity were allies, but the TV host turned on the …“COVID, at least post-March '20, was just a different sort of shock to the system. Probably required a different sort of response, especially once it was apparent that we were bouncing back from the shock quickly.”In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users“I've gotten a few questions about the "split decision" narrative, and whether it should change if Ds pull out wins in FL-Sen and AZ-Sen (good chance in both!). This gets to one of my biggest pet peeves about elections analysis and sports analysis. 1/”“McAuliffe starting to get some more results above the line. Also, moving the threshold up to 85% reporting. City of Richmond hasn't started to come in yet, and Fairfax is still largely outstanding. This is still very interesting.”On April 25, 2022, Elon Musk, CEO of Tesla and SpaceX, struck a tentative deal, purchasing Twitter for $44 billion. While he isn’t the first billionaire to step into a media-adjacent space, the move leaves users and members of the general p...In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users“Alright, Florida (mostly), Georgia, IN-01, Western KY, SC, VT and VA are on deck. Then at 8, all hell breaks loose.”“I've gotten a few questions about the "split decision" narrative, and whether it should change if Ds pull out wins in FL-Sen and AZ-Sen (good chance in both!). This gets to one of my biggest pet peeves about elections analysis and sports analysis. 1/”“@BenjySarlin This is one of the key reasons we have such wide bands on our "tossup" category for now. No one really knows how to model this thing.”Apr 18, 2021 · Sean T at RCP on Twitter: "For people under 16 this is less deadly than the flu. Not even on my radar of considerations. And as I said, in a few weeks if you haven't received your vaccine, it's pretty much on you. Especially given the teeny tiny risk of outdoor transmission to begin with.… https://t.co/Dw7OXIHcO4" Sean T at RCP is a free elf @SeanTrende. I've been sitting on this since this AM, but since proper notifications are out: I'm sad to report that Prof. Bear Braumoeller passed away this AM. ... He didn't have to do that, and I'm forever grateful to him. He leaves behind a wife and 7-year-old daughter. 2/ 1. 25. Sean T at RCP is a free elf

“One of the quiet stories under the hood is that Republicans are looking like they'll win the popular vote. Probably a popular vote swing of 5% (depending on how CA votes work out), swinging about 2% of the chamber. IOW, the generic polls are likely to be about spot on. Why? 1/”“On the uncontested House races, it is obviously proper to try to estimate vote totals for those seats. It's weird that people are suddenly super keyed in on this known-for-decades-but-always-ignore-issue, but whatevs. There are 10R uncontested and 2D. BUT . …In this conversation. Verified accountIn this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersInstagram:https://instagram. ut austin college confidential 2027score of the k state football game todayhunter dickinson instagramraising capital for business meaning Log in. Sign up oklahoma state cowgirls softball scheduleamerican eagle payless shoes In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersWhat occurred wasn’t a failure of the polls. As with Brexit, it was a failure of punditry. Pundits saw Clinton with a 1.9 percent lead in Pennsylvania and assumed she would win. The correct ... master's thesis outline “So is anyone else sort of freaked out by these supply chain issues? Went to Macy's to get shoes; the guy said he usually had 8,000 pairs but today only had 400. The brake rotors for my wife's car were on backorder. The shelves at the paint store were half-empty. 1/”“Here in the real world Silver gives Demings a 1-in-17 chance of beating Rubio, but sure, why not?”